In Press, Submitted, or In Prep

  1. Modeling the Transmission Mitigation Impact of Testing for Infectious Diseases.
    Casey Middleton, Daniel B. Larremore.
    medrxiv, (2023).

  2. Scientific productivity as a random walk.
    Sam Zhang, Nicholas LaBerge, Samuel F. Way, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    arXiv, (2023).

  3. A model for efficient dynamical ranking in networks.
    Andrea Della Vechia, Kibidi Neocosmos, Daniel B. Larremore, Cristopher Moore, Caterina De Bacco.
    arXiv, (2023).

  4. Gender and retention Patterns among U.S. faculty.
    Katie Spoon, Nicholas LaBerge, K. Hunter Wapman, Sam Zhang, Allison C. Morgan, Mirta Galesic, Bailey K. Fosdick, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    SocArXiv, (2023).

  5. Plasmodium falciparum population genetic complexity influences transcriptional profile and immune recognition of highly related genotypic clusters.
    Amy K. Bei, Daniel B. Larremore, Kazutoyo Miura, Ababacar Diouf, Nicholas K. Baro, Rachel F. Daniels, Allison Griggs, Eli L. Moss, Daniel E. Neafsey, Awa B. Deme, Mouhamad Sy, Stephen Schaffner, Ambroise D. Ahouidi, Daouda Ndiaye, Tandakha Dieye, Souleymane Mboup, Caroline O. Buckee, Sarah K. Volkman, Carole A. Long, Dyann F. Wirth.
    Submitted, (2021).

  6. Human mRNA in saliva can correctly identify individuals harboring infection.
    Qing Yang, Nicholas R. Meyerson, Camille L. Paige, James H. Morrison, Stephen K. Clark, Will T. Fattor, Carolyn J. Decker, Halley R. Steiner, Elena Lian, Daniel B. Larremore, Rushika Perera, Eric M. Poeschla, Roy Parker, Robin D. Dowell, Sara L. Sawyer.
    Submitted, (2023).


  1. Serial Population-Based Serosurveys For COVID-19 In District East of Karachi, Pakistan.
    Imran Nisar, Mashal Amin, Nadia Ansari, Farah Khalid, Najeeb Rehman, Aneeta Hotwani, Arsalan Memon, Usma Mehmood, Ali Faisal Saleem, Junaid Iqbal, Daniel B. Larremore, Bailey K. Fosdick, Fyezah Jehan.
    Journal of Global Health Reports, 7:e2023051, (2023).
    [Journal of Global Health Reports]

  2. An Open-Source Cultural Consensus Approach to Name-Based Gender Classification.
    Ian Van Buskirk, Aaron Clauset, Daniel B. Larremore.
    ICWSM - Proceedings of the Seventeenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, (2023).
    [ICWSM] [arXiv]

  3. Field-Specific Ability Beliefs as an Explanation for Gender Differences in Academics’ Career Trajectories: Evidence From Public Profiles on
    Aniko Hannak*, Kenneth Joseph*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Andrei Cimpian*.
    Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Attitudes and Social Cognition, (2023).
    [Journal of Personality and Social Psychology] [arXiv]

  4. Geographically skewed recruitment and COVID-19 seroprevalence estimates: A cross-sectional serosurveillance study and mathematical modeling analysis.
    Tyler Brown, Pablo Martinez de Salazar Munoz, Abhishek Bhatia, Bridget Bunda, Ellen K. Williams, David Bor, James S. Miller, Amir Mohareb, Julia Thierauf, Wenxin Yang, Julian Villalba, Vivek Naranbai, Wilfredo Garcia Beltran, Tyler E. Miller, Doug Kress, Kristen Stelljes, Keith Johnson, Daniel B. Larremore, Jochen Lennerz, A. John Iafrate, Satchit Balsari, Caroline O. Buckee, Yonatan H. Grad.
    BMJ Open, 13:e061840, (2023).
    [BMJ Open]

  5. Evolution of Plasmodium falciparum var repertoires by sexual recombination sustains disease transmission after an outbreak in Ecuador.
    Shazia Ruybal-Pesántez, Fabian E. Sáenz, Samantha Deed, Erik K. Johnson, Daniel B. Larremore, Claudia A. Vera-Arias, Kathryn E. Tiedje, Karen P. Day.
    Frontiers in Tropical Diseases, 4, (2023).
    [Frontiers in Tropical Diseases]

  6. Labor advantages drive the greater productivity of faculty at elite universities.
    Sam Zhang, K. Hunter Wapman, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    Science Advances, 8 (46), eabq7056, (2022).
    [Science Advances] [twitterthread]

  7. Subfield Prestige and Gender Inequality in Computing.
    Nicholas LaBerge, K. Hunter Wapman, Allison C. Morgan, Sam Zhang, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    Communications of the ACM, 65 (12), 46-55, (2022).
    [CACM] [CACM interview with author Nicholas LaBerge] [twitterthread] [Cover Art]

  8. Bayesian estimation of population size and overlap from random subsamples.
    Erik K. Johnson, Daniel B. Larremore.
    PLOS Computational Biology, 18 (9), e1010451, (2022).
    [PLOS Computational Biology]

  9. Optimizing prevalence estimates for a novel pathogen by reducing uncertainty in test characteristics.
    Daniel B. Larremore*, Bailey K. Fosdick*, Sam Zhang, Yonatan H. Grad.
    Epidemics, 41, 100634, (2022).

  10. Quantifying hierarchy and dynamics in U.S. faculty hiring and retention.
    K. Hunter Wapman, Sam Zhang, Aaron Clauset, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Nature, 610, 120-127, (2022).

  11. Socioeconomic Roots of Academic Faculty.
    Allison C. Morgan, Nicholas LaBerge, Daniel B. Larremore, Mirta Galesic, Jennie E. Brand, Aaron Clauset.
    Nature Human Behaviour, (2022).
    [Nature Human Behaviour] [twitterthread] [Research Briefing - Nature Human Behaviour]

  12. Ethnoracial Disparities in SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in a Large Cohort of Individuals in Central North Carolina from April to December 2020.
    Cesar A. Lopez, Clark H. Cunningham, Sierra Pugh, Katerina Brandt, Usaphea P. Vanna, Matthew J. Delacruz, Quique Guerra, Samuel Jacob Goldstein, Yixuan Jacob Hou, Margaret Gearhart, Christine Wiethorn, Candace Pope, Carolyn Amditis, Kathryn Pruitt, Cinthia Newberry-Dillon, John Schmitz, Lakshmanane Premkumar, Adaora A. Adimora, Michael Emch, Ross Boyce, Allison E. Aiello, Bailey K. Fosdick, Daniel B. Larremore, Aravinda M. de Silva, Jonathan J. Juliano, Alena J. Markmann.
    mSphere, e00841-21, (2022).

  13. SARS-CoV-2 Transmission and Impacts of Unvaccinated-Only Screening in Populations of Mixed Vaccination Status.
    Kate M. Bubar*, Casey E. Middleton*, Kristen K. Bjorkman, Roy Parker, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Nature Communications, 13, 2777, (2022).
    [Nature Communications]

  14. The Dynamics of Faculty Hiring Networks.
    Eun Lee, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    EPJ Data Science, 10, 48, (2021).
    [EPJ Data Science] [BMC Blog Post]

  15. A guide to choosing and implementing reference models for social network analysis.
    Elizabeth Hobson, Matthew Silk, Nina Fefferman, Daniel B. Larremore, Puck Rombach, Saray Shai, Noa Pinter-Wollman.
    Biological Reviews, 96 (6), (2021).
    [Biological Reviews] [preprint]

  16. Higher viral load drives infrequent SARS-CoV-2 transmission between asymptomatic residence hall roommates.
    Kristen K. Bjorkman, Tassa K. Saldi, Erika Lasda, Leisha Conners Bauer, Jennifer Kovarik, Patrick K. Gonzales, Morgan R. Fink, Kimngan L. Tat, Cole R. Hager, Jack C. Davis, Christopher D. Ozeroff, Gloria R. Brisson, Daniel B. Larremore, Leslie A. Leinwand, Matthew B. McQueen, Roy Parker.
    Journal of Infectious Diseases, jiab386, (2021).
    [Journal of Infectious Diseases]

  17. Modeling the effectiveness of olfactory testing to limit SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Derek Toomre, Roy Parker.
    Nature Communications, 12, 3664, (2021).
    [Nature Comms] [twitterthread]

  18. Emergence of hierarchy in networked endorsement dynamics.
    Mari Kawakatsu*, Philip S. Chodrow*, Nicole Eikmeier*, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences USA, 118(16)e2015188118, (2021).
    [PNAS] [preprint]

  19. Serial population-based serosurvey for COVID-19 in two neighborhoods of Karachi, Pakistan.
    Muhammad Imran Nisar, Nadia Ansari, Farah Khalid, Mashal Amin, Hamna Shahbaz, Aneeta Hotwani, Najeeb Rehman, Sierra Pugh, Usma Mehmood, Arjumand Rizvi, Arslan Memon, Zahoor Ahmed, Ashfaque Ahmed, Junaid Iqbal, Ali Faisal Saleem, Uzma Bashir Aamir, Daniel B. Larremore, Bailey K. Fosdick, Fyezah Jehan.
    International Journal of Infectious Diseases, (2021).
    [International Journal of Infectious Diseases]

  20. Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and epidemiological parameters with uncertainty from serological surveys.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Bailey K. Fosdick, Kate M. Bubar, Sam Zhang, Stephen M. Kissler, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Caroline O. Buckee, Yonatan H. Grad.
    eLife, 10:e64206, (2021).
    [eLife] [twitterthread] [twitterthread (math)] [interactive calculation tool] [github]

  21. The Unequal Impact of Parenthood in Academia.
    Allison C. Morgan, Samuel F. Way, Michael J. D. Hoefer, Daniel B. Larremore, Mirta Galesic, Aaron Clauset.
    Science Advances, 7 (9), eabd1996, (2021).
    [Science Advances] [twitterthread]

  22. Model-informed COVID-19 vaccine prioritization strategies by age and serostatus.
    Kate M. Bubar, Kyle Reinholt, Stephen M. Kissler, Marc Lipsitch, Sarah Cobey, Yonatan H. Grad, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Science, 371 (6532), 916-921, (2021).
    [Science] [interactive calculation tool] [twitterthread]

  23. Risk Factors of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies in Arapahoe County First Responders - the COVID-19 Arapahoe SErosurveillance Study (CASES) Project.
    Katherine R. Sabourin, Jonathan Schultz, Joshua Romero, Molly M. Lamb, Daniel B. Larremore, Thomas E. Morrison, Ashley Frazer, Shanta Zimmer, Ross M. Kedl, Thomas Jaenisch, Rosemary Rochford.
    Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 63 (3) 191-198, (2020).

  24. Test sensitivity is secondary to frequency and turnaround time for COVID-19 screening.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Bryan Wilder, Evan Lester, Soraya Shehata, James M. Burke, James A. Hay, Milind Tambe, Michael J. Mina, Roy Parker.
    Science Advances, 7 (1), eabd5393, (2020).
    [Science Advances] [interactive calculation tool] [twitterthread]

  25. Choices In Networks: A Research Framework.
    Fred Feinberg, Elizabeth Bruch, Michael Braun, Brett Hemenway Falk, Nina Fefferman, Elea McDonnell Feit, John Helveston, Daniel B. Larremore, Blakely B. McShane, Mario Small, Alice Patania.
    Marketing Letters, 1-11, (2020).
    [PDF] [Marketing Letters]

  26. Case Study: Using Facebook Data to Monitor Adherence to Stay-at-home Orders in Colorado and Utah.
    Ryan M. Layer, Bailey K. Fosdick, Michael Bradshaw, Daniel B. Larremore, Paul Doherty.
    ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, Workshop on Humanitarian Data Mapping, (2020).
    [KDD Workshop on Humanitarian Mapping]

  27. Community Detection in Bipartite Networks with Stochastic Blockmodels.
    Tzu-Chi Yen, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Physical Review E, 102, 032309, (2020).
    [Physical Review E] [arXiv] [github]

  28. Control of excitable systems is optimal near criticality.
    Kathleen Finlinson, Woodrow L. Shew, Daniel B. Larremore, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Physical Review Research, 2, 033450, (2020).
    [Physical Review Research] [arXiv]

  29. Reductions in commuting mobility correlate with geographic differences in SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in New York City.
    Stephen M. Kissler*, Nishant Kishore*, Malavika Prabhu*, Dena Goffman*, Yaakov Beilin*, Ruth Landau, Cynthia Gyamfi-Bannerman, Brian T. Bateman, Daniel Katz, Jonathan Gal, Angela Bianco, Joanne Stone, Daniel B. Larremore, Caroline O. Buckee, Yonatan H. Grad.
    Nature Communications, 11, 4674, (2020).
    [Nature Comms] [twitterthread] [twitterthread (math)]

  30. Implications of test characteristics and population seroprevalence on 'immune passport' strategies.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Kate M. Bubar, Yonatan H. Grad.
    Clinical Infectious Diseases, ciaa1019, (2020).

  31. Longitudinal analysis of naturally acquired antibodies to PfEMP1 CIDR domain variants and their association with malaria protection.
    Nyamekye Obeng-Adjei*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Louise Turner, Aissata Ongoiba, Shanping Li, Safiatou Doumbo, Takele B. Yazew, Ogobara K. Doumbo, Kassoum Kayentao, Louis H. Miller, Boubacar Traore, Susan K. Pierce, Caroline O. Buckee, Thomas Lavstsen, Peter D. Crompton, Tuan M. Tran.
    JCI Insight, 5 (12), e137262, (2020).
    [JCI Insight] [PDF] [bioRxiv]

  32. Dynamics of Beneficial Epidemics.
    Andrew Berdahl*, Christa Brelsford*, Caterina De Bacco*, Marion Dumas*, Vanessa Ferdinand*, Joshua A. Grochow*, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne*, Yoav Kallus*, Christopher P. Kempes*, Artemy Kolchinsky*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Eric Libby*, Eleanor A. Power*, Caitlin A. Stern*, Brendan D. Tracey*.
    Nature Scientific Reports, 9 (15093), (2019).
    [Nature Scientific Reports] [PDF] [arXiv]

  33. webweb: a tool for creating, displaying, and sharing interactive network visualizations on the web.
    K. Hunter Wapman, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Journal of Open Source Software, 4 (40), 1458, (2019).
    [github] [JOSS]

  34. Productivity, prominence, and the effects of academic environment.
    Samuel F. Way, Allison C. Morgan, Daniel B. Larremore*, Aaron Clauset*.
    Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences USA, 116 (18), (2019).
    [PNAS] [PDF]

  35. Bayes-optimal estimation of overlap between populations of fixed size.
    Daniel B. Larremore.
    PLoS Computational Biology, 15(3) e1006898, (2019).
    [PLOS Computational Biology] [PDF] [code] [web tool]

  36. Robust information capacity requires strong and balanced excitatory and inhibitory synapses.
    Vidit Agrawal, Andrew B. Cowley, Woodrow L. Shew, Daniel B. Larremore, Juan G. Restrepo, Qusay Alfaori.
    Chaos, 28 103115, (2018).
    [Chaos] [PDF] [arXiv]

  37. A physical model for efficient ranking in networks.
    Caterina De Bacco*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Cristopher Moore.
    Science Advances, 4(7) eaar8260, (2018).
    [Science Advances] [PDF] [PDF Supplement] [arXiv] [code]

  38. Configuring random graph models with fixed degree sequences.
    Bailey K. Fosdick*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Joel Nishimura*, Johan Ugander*.
    SIAM Review, 60 (2) 315-355, (2018).
    [SIAM Review] [PDF] [arXiv]

  39. The misleading narrative of the canonical faculty productivity trajectory.
    Samuel F. Way, Allison C. Morgan, Aaron Clauset*, Daniel B. Larremore*.
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 114 (44) E9216-E9223, (2017).
    [PNAS] [PDF]

  40. The ground truth about metadata and community detection in networks.
    Leto Peel*, Daniel B. Larremore*, Aaron Clauset.
    Science Advances, 3 (5) e1602548, (2017).
    [Science Advances] [PDF] [PDF Supplement]

  41. Community detection, link prediction, and layer interdependence in multilayer networks.
    Caterina De Bacco, Eleanor A. Power, Daniel B. Larremore, Cristopher Moore.
    Physical Review E, 95 042317, (2017).
    [PRE] [PDF]

  42. Gender, Productivity, and Prestige in Computer Science Faculty Hiring Networks.
    Samuel F. Way, Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    Proc. 2016 World Wide Web Conference (WWW), 1169-1179, (2016).
    [Proc WWW 2016] [PDF]

  43. Ape parasite origins of human malaria virulence genes.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Sesh A. Sundararaman, Weimin Liu, William R. Proto, Aaron Clauset, Dorothy E. Loy, Sheri Speede, Lindsey J. Plenderleith, Paul M. Sharp, Beatrice H. Hahn, Julian C. Rayner*, Caroline O. Buckee*.
    Nature Communications, 6, 8368, (2015).
    [Nature Comms] [PDF]

  44. Systematic inequality and hierarchy in faculty hiring networks.
    Aaron Clauset, Samuel Arbesman, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Science Advances, 1, e1400005, (2015).
    [Science Advances] [PDF] [code and data] [interactive data visualization]

  45. Immune characterization of P. falciparum parasites with a shared genetic signature in a region of decreasing transmission.
    Amy K. Bei, Ababacar Diouf, Kazutoyo Miura, Daniel B. Larremore, Ulf Ribacke, Gregory Tullo, Eli L. Moss, Daniel E. Neafsey, Rachel F. Daniels, Amir E. Zeituni, Iguosadolo Nosamiefan, Sarah K. Volkman, Ambroise D. Ahouidi, Daouda Ndiaye, Tandakha Dieye, Souleymane Mboup, Caroline O. Buckee, Carole A. Long, Dyann F. Wirth.
    Infection and Immunity, 83 (1), 276, (2015).
    [Infection and Immunity] [PDF]

  46. Efficiently inferring community structure in bipartite networks.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset, Abigail Z. Jacobs.
    Physical Review E, 90 (1), 012805, (2014).
    [PRE] [PDF] [code and data]

  47. Inhibition Causes Ceaseless Dynamics in Networks of Excitable Nodes.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Woodrow L. Shew, Edward Ott, Francesco Sorrentino, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Physical Review Letters, 112, 138103, (2014).
    [PRL] [PDF]

  48. A network approach to analyzing highly recombinant malaria parasite genes.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset, Caroline O. Buckee.
    PLoS Computational Biology, 9 (10), e1003268, (2013).
    [PLoS Comp Bio] [PDF]

  49. Social Climber attachment in forming networks produces phase transition in a measure of connectivity.
    Dane Taylor*, Daniel B. Larremore*.
    Physical Review E, 86, 031140, (2012).
    [PRE] [PDF]

  50. Statistical properties of avalanches in networks.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Marshall Y. Carpenter, Edward Ott, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Physical Review E, 85, 066131, (2012).
    [PRE] [PDF]

  51. Effects of network topology, transmission delays, and refractoriness on the response of coupled excitable systems to a stochastic stimulus.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Woodrow L. Shew, Edward Ott, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Chaos, 21, 025117, (2011).
    [Chaos] [PDF]

  52. Predicting criticality and dynamic range in complex networks: effects of topology.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Woodrow L. Shew, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Physical Review Letters, 106, 058101, (2011).
    [PRL] [PDF]

Essays, Columns, Book Chapters, Miscellaneous

  1. If the data do not speak for themselves, how ought we to speak for the data?.
    Ian Van Buskirk, Brian Zaharatos, Aaron Clauset, Daniel B. Larremore.
    DARE Workshop Proceedings, AAAI ICWSM 2023, (2023).
    [ICWSM Workshop PDF]

  2. Test negative designs with uncertainty, sensitivity, and specificity.
    Erik K. Johnson, Rebecca Kahn, Yonatan Grad, Marc Lipsitch, Daniel B. Larremore.
    medrxiv, (2021).

  3. Networks, Dynamics, and Prestige: How Hierarchies Emerge from Individual Choices.
    Mari Kawakatsu, Philip S. Chodrow, Nicole Eikmeier, Daniel B. Larremore.
    SIAM News Blog, (2021).
    [SIAM News Blog]

  4. Concerns about SARS-CoV-2 evolution should not hold back efforts to expand vaccination.
    Sarah Cobey, Daniel B. Larremore, Yonatan H. Grad, Marc Lipsitch.
    Nature Reviews Immunology, (2021).
    [Nature Reviews Immunology]

  5. Rethinking Covid-19 Test Sensitivity — A Strategy for Containment.
    Michael J. Mina, Roy Parker, Daniel B. Larremore.
    New England Journal of Medicine, (2020).
    [New England Journal of Medicine] [PDF]

  6. Network models for malaria: antigens, dynamics, and evolution over space and time.
    Lauren Childs, Daniel B. Larremore.
    Systems Medicine: Integrative Qualitative and Computational Approaches, (2019).
    [Systems Medicine] [PDF]

  7. More Inclusive Scholarship Begins With Active Experimentation.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Allison C. Morgan, Aaron Clauset.
    The Chronicle of Higher Education, 1 November, (2017).
    [Chronicle of Higher Ed] [PDF]

  8. Why predicting the future is more than just horseplay.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Aaron Clauset.
    The Christian Science Monitor, 24 April, (2017).
    [The Christian Science Monitor]

  9. On the records.
    Andrew Berdahl, Uttam Bhat, Vanessa Ferdinand, Joshua Garland, Keyan Ghazi-Zahedi, Justin Grana, Joshua A. Grochow, Elizabeth Hobson, Yoav Kallus, Christopher P. Kempes, Artemy Kolchinsky, Daniel B. Larremore, Eric Libby, Eleanor A. Power, Brendan D. Tracey.
    arXiv, (2017).

  10. Data-driven predictions in the science of science.
    Aaron Clauset, Daniel B. Larremore, Roberta Sinatra.
    Science, 355(6324) 477-480, (2017).
    [Science] [PDF]

  11. Critical Dynamics in Complex Networks.
    Daniel B. Larremore, Woodrow L. Shew, Juan G. Restrepo.
    Criticality in Neural Systems, Wiley, 365-392, (2014).

  12. Progess Is Infectious.
    Daniel E. Geer Jr., Daniel B. Larremore.
    IEEE Security & Privacy, 10(6) 94-95, (2012).
    [IEEE S&P] [PDF]

* denotes equal contribution